Journal article

ENSO teleconnections with Australian rainfall in coupled model simulations of the last millennium

JR Brown, P Hope, J Gergis, BJ Henley

Climate Dynamics | Published : 2016

Abstract

El Niño-Southern Oscillation is the major source of interannual rainfall variability in the Australian region, with the strongest influence over eastern Australia. The strength of this regional ENSO–rainfall teleconnection varies in the observational record. Climate model simulations of the “last millennium” (850–1850 C.E.) can be used to quantify the natural variability of the relationship between ENSO and Australian rainfall on decadal and longer time scales, providing a baseline for evaluating future projections. In this study, historical and last millennium (LM) simulations from six models were obtained from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 and Palaeoclimate Modelling In..

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Grants

Awarded by Automotive Research Center


Funding Acknowledgements

The contribution of JRB and PH was supported by the Australian Climate Change Science Program. JG is supported by an Australian Research Council Fellowship DE130100668. BH is funded by an ARC Cooperative Research Network (CRN) research grant. We acknowledge the World Climate Research Programme's Working Group on Coupled Modelling, which is responsible for CMIP, and we thank the climate modelling groups for producing and making available their model output. For CMIP the U.S. Department of Energy's Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison provides coordinating support and led development of software infrastructure in partnership with the Global Organization for Earth System Science Portals. We thank Greg Kociuba for calculation of the equatorial SOI. We thank an anonymous reviewer for comments that greatly improved the manuscript. We also thank Sophie Lewis for discussion of model evaluation, and Ian Smith and Christine Chung for comments on an earlier version of the manuscript.